How to Understand What The New York Times Calls a 'Leaderless' Palestinian Arab Revolt

Two catalysts appear to be driving the latest "leaderless" Palestinian uprising against Israel. 

First, popular fears among Palestinian Arabs that Israeli authorities will permit Jews to pray on the Temple Mount or Haram al Sharif in Jerusalem's Old City. 

Second, say Israeli authorities, are relentless messages in official Palestinian media outlets supervised by Mahmoud Abbas calling for the destruction of Israel.

Add to the mix calls by senior Fatah figures (Abbas is the head of Fatah) like Marwan Barghouti for a return to "armed resistance" and the differences between Fatah and Hamas evaporate. 

Convinced Muslim shrines are in imminent danger individual Palestinians like 18-year-old Sawsan Abu Hashieh have heeded calls to defend the Muslim holy place. On Monday he stabbed and killed an off-duty soldier near a busy Tel Aviv train station. Hashieh's Facebook page showed him holding a sign that read: "We are people who love death while our enemies love life," the New York Times reported.

Some history. Israel's then defense minister Moshe Dayan ceded day-to-day oversight of the mount, where Sunni Muslims believe Muhammad ascended to heaven in 632, to Islamic religious authorities days after capturing the compound from Jordan in the 1967 war. 

In victory magnanimity and all that. 

Successive Israeli governments have maintained a policy prohibiting Jewish worship on the mount— though allowing tourists to visit— so as not to inflame Muslim sensibilities, as Shmuel Rosner explains in the Times.

The Palestinian street has taken to heart the desires of a small group of Jewish fanatics and messianics who want to construct a third temple at the site where the two temples of Bible times once stood.

The Palestinian media has played up the "threat" whipping up the street into the current violent frenzy.

Warning that Israelis would face a "devastating religious war" Abbas told a memorial rally in memory of Yasser Arafat that he will not permit the Jews to "contaminate" the mount, according to the Times. "Keep the settlers and the extremists away from al-Aksa and our holy places." He went on to say that "No one will accept that Jerusalem is the capital of anything but the state of Palestine," according to the Times of Israel.

Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu has reiterated that he does not intend to change the status quo and accused Abbas of purposefully "inflaming" the situation, according to the New York Times.

Israeli experts maintain that steady drumbeating by Palestinian leaders and Muslim clergy that Jews are an alien presence in the Middle East helps stoke the violence, The Jerusalem Post reported. 

Arab social media is also feeding the uprising with songs and cartoons calling on Palestinians to use vehicles to "Run Over the Settler," according to the Times. Official Palestinian media inculcates the idea that all Israelis are settlers and all of Palestine is occupied.

I don't want to suggest that Netanyahu handled the increasing messianic traffic to the Mount well. 

The job of messianic fanatics is to create apocalyptic conflict. They believe God will intercede, save the Jews from the wrath of 1.6 billion Muslims allowing them to get down to animal sacrifice. 

Abbas and other Arab leaders are using the ravings of the Jewish fanatics as a pretext. By inflaming the situation they hope to get the U.S. to agree to a Security Council resolution that would give Israel a deadline for a withdrawal to the 1949 Armistice Lines.

Given that John Kerry thinks peace was at hand "and then poof" some Israeli added a toilet to his apartment in "occupied east Jerusalem" and given that a senior U.S. official close to Obama thinks Netanyahu is a chickenshit - the prospect of a U.S. betrayal of Israel at the UN can't be ruled out.

The Arabs can almost smell Washington's capitulation. They see Obama capitulating to Teheran on Iranian nuclear weapons and say: "What about us?"

Once the Palestinians force Israel back to the old armistice lines (what is euphemistically termed the 1967 boundaries) finishing Israel off will be the next step. 

What's Israel gonna do when "Palestine" in adjoining Israel by inches mortars Ben-Gurion Airport while Hamas in Gaza launches rockets and Hezbollah in Lebanon unleashes formerly Syrian missiles? 

What's Israel gonna do? Drop an atom bomb?

More likely it will come under EU and US pressure not to react disproportionately.  

This scenario is precisely what Arafat had in his diabolical mind when he spoke of the destruction of Israel is phases. It's what the 1993 Oslo Accords were supposed to have delivered (from the Arab viewpoint) before Hamas mucked things up with their suicide bombing campaign in the Yitzhak Rabin years.

  

So here we are.

Israeli authorities have been struggling to come up with an answer to the seemingly random violence which has taken six Israeli lives in the last month. 

"Someone gets up in the morning, goes out of the mosque at noon, and says, 'Today I will kill some Israelis' – no organization behind it, he doesn't have to prepare himself, he can take the knife from his kitchen," said Yaakov Amidror, an Israeli security analyst. "There is no stage where intelligence can intervene and stop it," the Times reported.

As for deterrence: The terrorists may "love" death but they don't want their families to be homeless.

Netanyahu has procrastinated -- he should have ordered the attorney general to cut through the red tape and deliver swift house demolitions for the families of the terrorists.

He should never have allowed the prisoner releases. 

Ever since the 2011 Gilad Shalit deal and the release of 1,027 terrorists with blood on their hands (are there any other kind?) the enemy has been emboldened. 

Netanyahu could have at least refused more prisoner releases intended to entice Abbas to the negotiating table. But he didn't because he was under heavy pressure from President Barack Obama.

Prisoners are released at the end of a conflict (in appropriate cases) not during it.

Back to deterrence. What to do now?

Netanyahu could reimpose the security checkpoints removed up and down Judea and Samaria to appease the EU and the Obama administration.

Netanyahu could stop payments to the Palestinian Authority. 

He could end cooperation with the PA. 

Netanyahu could forbid Palestinians from working in Israel. 

If Hamas in Gaza acts up he could genuine blockade the Strip -- not provide electricity, medicine, and building materials.

He could invite any Israeli Arab who wants to renounce their citizenship to please do so. That opens up lots of possibilities.

He could hold Jerusalem and Israeli Arab parents financially responsible for the violence their underage young people commit.

He could put some of the most troublesome Jewish fanatics under house arrest.

At that's just for starters.

The Third Intifada Myth

It's very easy to get fixated on the events of the day.

They sweep over us and overwhelm our senses. Rocks. Car terror. 

The Palestinian Arab Supreme Monitoring Committee has declared a one-day strike against the Jewish sector of Israel. No school. No shops.

These are Arab citizens of Israel we're talking about. But their leaders despise Israel no less than the Palestinian Arab leaders of Gaza and Judea and Samaria (the west bank).

The troubles in Kafr Kana (in the general vicinity of Haifa) set off the latest crisis. It began Friday into Saturday when police shot Kheir a-Din Hamdan who had attacked their cruiser van while it was on routine duty in Kafr Kana.

Hamdan tried to break the windows of the van and to stab the cops. He had a knife. It was dark. It was late. But there were Israelis to threaten and kill.

Maybe the cops could have shot him in the feet rather than in the upper part of his body since when they got out of the cruiser Hamdan began backing away. 

In response to Hamdan's demise the local Arabs rioted. Maybe because they feel Hamdan has a right to stab Jewish police. Or because, anyway, he didn't succeed..so what's the big deal?

The Arabs say that if Hamdan had been a Jew the police would have allowed him to stab them. Yeah. Right. I invite any Jew (particularlyAmerican and European) to test that theory -- if they believe it.

“The police executed Hamdan in cold blood, without having any reason," is what the leaders of the Arabs sector in Israel are saying.

Up and down Israel – including here in Jerusalem – the Arabs are rioting. They have 100 reasons to riot.  1000 reasons. 

Certainly Mahmoud Abbas and his Fatah thugs have encouraged it. And Hamas has encouraged it. In fact, no Arab voice has discouraged it.

Think about that: No Arab voice has discouraged it violence.

Not all Arabs, of course are rioting. Most went to work. Most could not go to school. 

So there is an unquestionable sense of tension all over. The Arabs are mobilized and feeling frustrated: They Jews just won't go away.

"Our" "Israeli" Arabs are impacted by the militancy and irrational nuttiness sweeping the "neighborhood." 

They are susceptible to conspiracy theories even on the best of days.  

They are convinced that the Jews will rebuild their Temple and dislocate them from the Temple Mount – which is the 3^rd holiest place in Islam.

I'm glad to see more Israeli leaders and holy men including one of the Orthodox chief rabbis urging Jews not to visit the Temple mount for now. 

The status quo was that Jews could visit the Mount but not pray there because it "offends" the Arabs. 

Lately some messianic Jews craving Temple Version 3.0 want to have another go. They don't care if it inflames 1.6 billion Muslims. They hear God's voice telling them it doesn't matter.

Our messianics have little support among the general population, or among the Orthodox population, and have zero support from the Israeli authorities. 

But they hear God's voice. Or they listen to rabbis who hear it. Whatever.

But their ravings play into the hands of the Arab fanatics. I guess fanatics feed off each other.

Meanwhile, having nothing to do with the Temple Mount the Arabs in Syria, the Arabs in Iraq, the Arabs in north Africa, the Arabs in Lebanon, the Muslims just about everywhere are aggrieved and killing each other. 

In Pakistan. In Somalia. In Afghanistan.  

None of that will go away even if God forbid the Palestinian Arabs manage to get rid of Israel -- or if old ayotallah Ali Khamenei's wet dream comes true and the Jewish state is nuked...

The Muslims still will not stop the war of civilizations. The war of civilizations that manifests mostly within Islam itself.

So it is not clever for Jews to unite them against Israel by making an issue of the Temple Mount at a time when the entire Islamic civilization is already awash in fanaticism and blood-letting.

Here's the bottom line: There is no 3^rd intifada.

And truth be told there was no second or first intifada.

It's one big long intifada.

The Muslim Arabs opposed Israel's existence since the beginning of the Zionist enterprise.  Before there were "settlements" and the "occupation."

It's just one long continuing intifada with interruptions for Hudnas and double-dealings and tactical arrangements like Oslo in 1993.

Islam in its 21^st century incarnation is not a civilization that believes in getting along with other civilizations; in live and let live.

Whatever the particular issue or crisis or cause of any given day — the fundamental problem for the Muslim Arabs is that they reject the idea of sharing any part of the vast Middle East with non-Muslims. 

And, increasingly, they are unwilling to share any part of Europe with non Muslims either. Hence the plot against the Queen in Londonstan.

How to Unite a Divided Arab & Muslim World

Say you looked around the Arab and Muslim world and saw a civilization at war with itself.

Sunnis killing Shi'ites.

Persians at loggerheads with Turks who are at loggerheads with Arabs.

Say you saw the Palestinian Arabs divided as usual – Hamas against Fatah; the West Bank against Gaza.

Egypt against Hamas.

Say that Muslims and Arabs – while paying lip service to their hatred of Jews and Israel were just too busy to act on it in any concerted manner.

Now, what can you do to unite the Muslims and Arabs – to get them to put their differences momentarily aside?

Simple. Make them think the Jews are about to oust them from the Temple Mount.

Start by having more and more prominent Jewish personalities visit the Mount.

Have Knesset members insist Jews ought to pray on the Mount.

In short, send a clear message that Jews are making a move to change what is admittedly an unfair "status quo" in which Jews don't assert their rights to the shrine.

Well, that's just what messianic Jews of an apocalyptic bent are doing.

They are uniting a fragmented Muslim world and a divided Arab polity.

And since there are no shortage of Arab fanatics – the behavior of the Jewish messianics hardly needs to be distorted by much in the Arab media and on Arab social media to elicit "lone wolf" terror attacks.

That's exactly what's been happening.

Doesn't saving a Jewish life mean anything?

When you know your actions will cause Jews to die -- not just in Israel but perhaps in the Diaspora -- shouldn't that make you think twice about asserting Jewish rights to the Temple Mount just now – what the Middle East is already burning.

For myself, I am not hankering after Temple III and for animal sacrifices.

But even for those who are – howabout waiting a bit. Now is not the time to go up to the Temple Mount.

It's not clever. In fact, it's downright reckless.  

Obama Plans to Circumvent Congress on a Bad-for-Israel Iran Nuke Deal

President Barack Obama will not seek Congressional approval for any deal his negotiator Wendy Sherman might reach with Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif on Teheran's nuclear weapons program,  The New York Times reported.

The U.S. is negotiating with Iran as part of the P5+1 talks— the United States, Russia, China, France, Britain, and Germany— in Vienna that are scheduled to conclude on Nov. 24.

A spokesman for EU foreign minister Catherine Ashton-- who is not known for her Zionist sympathies -- said the talks had reached a critical point. 

On Sunday, Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu warned that a prospective agreement might leave Iran with the capacity to build nuclear weapons on short notice. "This is a threat to the entire world, and first and foremost to us. This threat is far more serious than that posed by the Islamic State,"  Haaretz reported.

The anti-Netanyahu tabloid Yediot Aharanot claimed there was no basis to Netanyahu's concerns. That's because no one at Yediot read the Times story and because their dislike for the mercurial Netanyahu clouds their ability to report the news. 

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has insisted that Iran must expand its nuclear enrichment program.

Any Iran deal would likely involve the gradual lifting of sanctions. Obama can do this without congressional approval. "We wouldn't seek congressional legislation in any comprehensive agreement for years," a senior official told the Times.

Sherman has been briefing key congressional committees on the talks, the Times reported.

New Jersey Democratic Sen. Robert Menendez, chairman of the Foreign Relations Committee, said that "If a potential deal does not substantially and effectively dismantle Iran's illicit nuclear weapons program, I expect Congress will respond. An agreement cannot allow Iran to be a threshold nuclear state," the Times reported.

If no agreement is reached by Nov. 24, Menendez has proposed tightening sanctions on Iran.

"Congress will not permit the president to unilaterally unravel Iran sanctions that passed the Senate in a 99 to 0 vote," in 2010 said Republican Sen. Mark Kirk of Illinois, the Times reported.

The president's goal "between now and 2017" is to avoid having to bomb Iran or having Teheran announce that it has an atomic bomb, said Karim Sadjadpour of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. The talks are expected to be extended should no agreement be reached, according to the Times.

I've been saying for years that the U.S. would not take out Iran's nuclear facilities. A large part of the reason is that Washington exhausted itself in Iraq. A war with Iran is not something American public opinion would tolerate. 

Obama's tenure has been a disaster for Israel though on Iran -- given the mess George W. Bush left in the Middle East -- I doubt a Romney presidency would have been any different.  

The British Street

The British Ambassador to Israel Matthew Gould has just been on Army Radio to say that yesterday's vote in the British Parliament was a reflection of the mood on the British Street and that Israelis should be worried.

The vote – a nonbinding resolution to give diplomatic recognition to a Palestinian state – was a lopsided Ayes 274, Noes 12 ... which suggests the Parliament is becoming more like the UN General Assembly.

An automatic anti-Zionist majority.

Israel's "friends" in Parliament and its enemies voted together. The friends are "tired" of defending us against popular opinion.

"The conflict in Gaza over the summer, the announcement on settlements since the summer, have had a big impact. And I think that this parliamentary vote is a sign of the way that the wind is blowing in public opinion," said Gould.

Reading between the lines, Gould is saying that if Israel were to permit Hamas in Gaza to bombard its territory with impunity and not attempt to deter such behavior, Israel could begin to win back the British Street.

Somehow, I doubt it.

Of course, Israel would still have to pull back to the 1949 Armistice Lines because "settlements" in Jerusalem and in Judea and Samaria are another reason why we've lost the British Street.

The Palestinian Arabs would then establish a Muslim state in the West Bank. 

How much longer afterwards it would still be comfortable to live in a truncated Israel is something we'd soon discover.

When would mortars let alone rockets make air travel from our only airport all but impossible?

For if the events in Syria/Iraq -- the ISIS advance on Baghdad -- prove anything it is that territory and strategic depth not airpower or nuclear weapons is what matters on the ground.

Would Palestine be controlled by Fatah? By Hamas? By a Palestinian offshoot of al-Qaida or ISIS?

That's of no particular concern to the British Street.

They'll be some MP's who will claim their vote is for Israel's own good and others who well know what they are doing will only bolster the Arab side.

The Arabs are engaged in a zero sum game. 

All of them. All of them that matter.

The British Street – including its 2-3 million Muslims – are fine with the Palestinian Arabs getting their way without having to make concessions at the negotiating table.  Without having to recognize Israel as a Jewish state.

It is so convenient to buy into the mantra that the settlements are the problem. 

So lazy to blame Palestinian violence, intransigence, and victimization on Israel.

So easy for "friends" to say they've lost patience with the Jewish state.

What amazes is that there are 12 MPs who – for whatever the reason –  some perhaps even out of principle – did not jump on the anti-Israel or "save-Israel-from-itself" bandwagon.